The Case for Believing National Polls

I’ve noticed whenever I post or tweet about polls on the 2020 presidential election, someone will chime in with something “The polls were wrong in 2016!” They actually weren’t. The national polls were correct. It was some of the state polls that threw everybody off. In RealClearPolitics’ final average, they had Clinton at 46.8% and Trump at 43.6%, a difference of 3.2% with polls that averaged a margin of error of +/- 2.8%. This also meant that 9.6% of the electorate was voting third-party or hadn’t decided in the few…

Utah GOP Attorney General Primary

There is an interesting race for Utah Attorney General between the incumbent of six and a half years, Sean Reyes, and the Utah County Attorney General of two years, David Leavitt. The winner of this month’s primary will face off with the Democrat for the November election. A debate between the two can be found below. Attorney General Sean Reyes Sean Reyes has served as the state attorney general since Dec 2013, replacing John Swallow after he resigned. AG Reyes said that his biggest accomplishment so far has been to…

Will George Floyd’s Death Lead to Actual Reform?

The death of George Floyd set off a firestorm that might actually lead to some meaningful change. We’ve had some changes in the past, even though this week it might not feel like it. One example: the more widespread use of body-cams have demonstrated that “bad apples” get caught while it can acquit the actions of others. However, things need to calm down before those new changes can happen. I didn’t go to the protest in Salt Lake City on Saturday. I wish I had now. I did go to…

Death of the Democratic Party

“However [Political Parties] may now and then answer popular ends, they are likely, in the course of time and things, to become potent engines, by which cunning, unprincipled and ambitious men will be enabled to subvert the power of the people” – George Washington, 1796. If the Coronavirus crisis has revealed anything, it has revealed that certain Parties and players will drop any pretense of constitutional allegiance when the opportunity arises.  Both Parties have elected people in positions of power locally and nationally that have essentially thrown the Constitution to…

The 2020 Republican Candidates for Governor, Ranked

The Republican field for governor is more crowded than an audition for America’s Got Talent. There’s not a lot to differentiate on policy-wise, so most of this race is going to come down to personality. Here’s a run-down of each of them from best to worst (with a dishonorable mention). The Good Ones Spencer Cox I’ve known Spencer for a number of years. He’s smart. He’s honest. He’s genuine. Above all, he’s someone who spends time thinking and evaluating before speaking. That’s a rarity in general, but especially so for…

A wartime governor?

“Some people might not have realized that World War III has already begun” – Tweet by Nayib Bukele, President of El Salvador, March 22, 2020 One of my favorite moments in an epic movie, “The Godfather”, is when Al Pacino’s character Michael Corleone, turns to Robert Duvall’s character Tom Hagen and says “You’re out Tom. You are not a wartime consigliere”. Duvall’s character had been a long standing attorney representing the family’s (legal and illegal) interests with a stellar track record. Yet he was removed in a period where a…

Utah County Recorder, Republican Candidates

With Jeff Smith, the current Utah County Recorder stepping down we have a four-way race. Candidates range from many years working in the office to being totally from the outside. Here is a short write-up on each. Andrea Allen Andrea was born and raised in Spanish Fork and has worked for the county for the past thirty-eight years. She has been the assistant county recorder for the last five years. She thinks it is a great staff and enjoys working with them. The first thing she wants to change with…