First SB 54 survey results…with commentary

If you haven’t done it yet, take the survey online RIGHT HERE.

The first batch of survey results on SB 54 have been released by the Republican party. No great surprise – there is very little support for a litmus test or a fee. The results are almost evenly split on whether the party should continue with the lawsuit. And most respondents think the GOP should keep its primary closed.

The data released by the party is in percentages, so it’s hard to know how many people are in each category and how many voted for each question. There are 3 categories – the larger GOP membership, state delegates and elected officials. It is unclear how each category was contacted, as there is one link to take the survey electronically and multiple state delegates who have either a) never received an email, b) never received a printed copy or c) both. In any case, I do hope people continue taking the survey.

Here’s the breakdown:

Q1: Which path should the GOP choose? 30% say RPP, a handful say they don’t know and 55%-61% of GOP voters and delegates say QPP, while 87% of elected officials say we should go with QPP.

Q2: Should the party continue its legal challenge? 47.69% of the GOP at large, 64.90% of delegates and 60.00% of elected official say yes,  while 44.24% of the larger GOP membership, 33.10% of delegates and 40.00% of elected officials say no.

Q3: Should Republican candidates be prohibited from being officers in another party. Overwhelmingly, yes. (That one seems pretty self-explanatory.)

Q4: ) Should all Republican candidates, regardless of whether they go through the caucus convention system or collect signatures, be required to sign a platform disclosure statement? Again, overwhelmingly yes. (This is not the interview process, but a signed statement from the candidates.)

Q5:  Should Republican candidates be required to meet with the Republican Party in order to officially run as a Republican? This proposal did not garner a majority in ANY category: 32.90% of the larger GOP membership, 45.00% of delegates and 12.50% of elected officials say yes. 49.97% of the broader membership, 47.00% of delegates and 68.80% of elected officials say no.

Q6: Should the candidates who only go through the caucus convention process have access to the Party’s resources? 46.11% of the larger GOP base, 62.00% of delegates and 73.30% r elected official say yes, while 43.53%, 30.70% and 20.00 say no.

Q7:  Should candidates who go through the caucus convention system and gather signatures through the petition route have access to the party’s resources? More support for this option – between 65% and 80% say yes.

Q8: Should candidates who only gather signatures through the petition route have access to the party’s resources? Most respondents said no to this one – 45% to 73%.

Q9: Should the Party endorse condidates during the primary? Only the elected officials think this is a good idea – 53% of them said yes, then over 60% of the base and the delegates said no.

Q10:  If the Republican Party chooses to endorse candidates in the primary, who should the endorsement be available to? The GOP base is split on caucus candidates only (39.5%) and caucus/convention and signature gatherers (39.92%), while state delegates think the endorsement should go to caucus-only candidates (57.9%). 50% of elected officials also think that the caucus-only candidates should get the endorsement.

Q11:  If the Party chooses to endorse candidates, should we endorse only one or make multiple endorsementsThis one was interesting – pretty clear differences with the elected officials on this one: almost 78% of them think the party should limit the endorsement to one candidate only. (Pretty sure they are assuming that as incumbents, they would get the endorsement, right?!) Between 65% of the delegates and 72% of the base say multiple candidates.

Q12:  Should the Party change the convention threshold to allow more convention candidates to proceed to the primary ballot? 63% of the base says yes, 53% of the delegates say yes but – wait for it – only 27% of elected officials think the threshold should be changed.

Q13: If you answered yes to question 12 what is the minimum percentage of the delegate vote should a candidate receive atconvention to earn a place on the primary ballot? Between 10% and 18% think it should drop to 20% (on the flip side, that means the threshold to make it to the ballot without a primary would jump to 80%). 12%-25% think the minimum should be 25%, 22% – 31% say at least 30% and 40%-75% (elected officials, again) say it should only change by 5%, meaning the minimum would be 35% instead of 40%.

Q14:  Should the legislature amend SB54 and require that a candidate secure a majority vote in order to become the nominee? Technically, there is no SB 54 to amend, there is only state code, but nonetheless, most respondents think this issue of plurality should be resolved by the legislature. The legislature that passed the bill that is now in litigation… Still, 56% of the base, 65% of delegates and 67% of elected officials want to see this issue addressed.

Q15:  Should the Republican Party open its primary to unaffiliated voters as well as registered Republicans? Not surprisingingly, the majority say no. What surprised me was how many said yes: 41% of the base, 30% of the delegates and 40% of the elected officials think the primary should be open.

Q16:  Should the Republican Party charge its candidates a fee to help defray the costs of complying with SB 54? This was a big fat heck no. 100% of the elected officials, 64% of delegates and 61% of the base say no. Interestingly, more than a fifth of the base say they are not sure. This is a “trial balloon” filled with lead and it needs to go away. Forever.

Q17: If a Republican candidate chooses only to gather signatures through the petition route, avoiding the caucuses and convention, should that candidate lose their membership in the Utah Republican Party? Another zinger of a question. 80% of the base, 74% of the delegates and 53% of the elected officials say no way.

Q18: How would you describe your political ideology? Most respondents classify themselves as conservative: 55% of the base, 59% of the delegates and 73% of elected officials. Second-most popular designation is very conservative – 20% of the elected officials, 28% of the delegates and 26% of the base. there are a handful of others who classify themselves as moderate, liberal or even very liberal. My guess is Mr. Very Liberal is not actually a registered Republican, but I suppose stranger things have happened.

Q19: What is your gender? Wanna see the why some say there are not enough women in Utah politics? 0% of the elected officials, 19% of the state delegates and only 27% of the base were women. Dang.

Q20: What is your age? The 69+ category is by FAR the largest category for the base – 47%. Ages 57-69 has pretty good representation, as does the 44-56 age group. A few 30-somethings and a handful of Millienials.

And there you have it. Did anything surprise you?

Utah GOP SB 54 Preliminary Survey Results 5-12-15

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