The SCOTUS has ruled, and in favor of Hobby Lobby against the contraception mandate in the affordable care act.
Some will call it a win for ‘religious liberty.’ Some will call it another step towards the court turning corporations into people. Democrats will campaign on it as another example of conservative disdain for women’s health issues. Republicans will call it another kick in the teeth for the Affordable Care Act, while trying carefully not to own it too much in case the Democrats’ message plays well. In the immediate, attention will turn to closing his newly created ‘coverage gap’ by some long over due changes, like women not needing a doctors prescription to get The Pill.
Just as Scalia accurately predicted the demise of state level same-sex marriage bans in his DOMA ruling dissent, Ginsburg will prove prophetic in her scathing dissent in this ruling. Minefield, she calls it. And of course, Hobby Lobby will still amaze and wow in it’s very continued existence, while we all look back on these times as some of the most ridiculous in American political history.
But that is all the obvious. Now for some extreme tea leaf reading!
Several years from now, after policy makers and courts have waded Ginsburg’s minefield a bit, we’ll see a renewed policy push for single payer that meets a very different response, embraced fully (finally) by the Democratic Party. That push will stick, and a sincere debate will begin over single payer not as a far left idea, but as an actual practical solution.
It will begin with a sentence like this:
“The Supreme Court says your boss can make important health care decisions for you. Let’s get your boss out of your health care.”
It’ll happen. It’ll be compelling. And independent voters in a key election (aren’t they all?) for one party, or both will be keen on it.
And you heard it here first.