Could Donald Trump Still Win?

We’re less than two weeks away and the polls would suggest that Joe Biden’s on his way to finishing above 300 in the Electoral College. Could Donald Trump still pull this off? Does he have a chance? Could some of the state polls be as off as they were in 2016? Or as accurate as they were in 2012? Approval rating average of the president 11 days before his possible re-election v. how much of the popular vote they got (per 538) 45 Donald Trump – 42.5% 44 Barack Obama…

The Case for Believing National Polls

I’ve noticed whenever I post or tweet about polls on the 2020 presidential election, someone will chime in with something “The polls were wrong in 2016!” They actually weren’t. The national polls were correct. It was some of the state polls that threw everybody off. In RealClearPolitics’ final average, they had Clinton at 46.8% and Trump at 43.6%, a difference of 3.2% with polls that averaged a margin of error of +/- 2.8%. This also meant that 9.6% of the electorate was voting third-party or hadn’t decided in the few…

Republican Gubernatorial Hopefuls Don’t Have the Luxury of Hating on Trump

At the recent governor’s debate hosted at the Silicon Slopes Tech Summit, the six Republican candidates were asked by moderator Clint Betts if they don’t support Trump. To the surprise of more than a few Utah politicos, nobody on that stage raised their hand. I found myself disappointed, but not terribly surprised. You shouldn’t be either, but probably not for the reasons you may be thinking. Moderator asks if anyone on the stage DOESN'T support Trump. No hands are raised. — Bethany Rodgers (@BethRodgersSLT) January 31, 2020 As a private…

A way too early look at the 2020 Democratic presidential landscape

In 2016, way too many people ran for the Republican presidential ticket. It allowed a lifelong Democrat who turned into a birther a handful of years ago to win the nomination. So, based on very little, here’s where I see the candidates for president in power rankings for the 2020 Democratic presidential primary field. 1. KAMALA HARRIS – The junior senator from California is a star on the left. She’s pugnacious, which helps in picturing her debating Trump, and she checks all the identity politics boxes. She might be seen…