Super Tuesday: Time for two to tango

The bands were playing all across the country this Tuesday. The music was the spritely-timed tango of Super Tuesday. Delegates danced around their vision for the most recent version of hope and change. Candidates aligned themselves carefully in the week preceding hoping to polish up their message as melodically as possible. The results are in and the beat of this primary song is becoming very clear. Hillary Clinton has all but secured the Democratic nomination, not that the surging popularity of Bernie Sanders was ever a real concern for her…

Super Tuesday: GOP polls vs results

Super Tuesday has come and gone so let’s look at the results, comparing most recent poll/polls average to actual result. Alabama Poll (3): Trump 38, Rubio 20.3, Cruz 14.7 Result: Trump 43.4, Cruz 21.1, Rubio 18.7 Alaska Poll (1): Trump 28, Cruz 24, Rubio 7 Result: Cruz 36.4, Trump 33.5, Rubio 15 Arkansas Poll (1): Cruz 27, Trump 23, Rubio 23 Result: Trump 32.7, Cruz 30.5, Rubio 25 Georgia Poll (4): Trump 37.8, Rubio 22.3, Cruz 22 Result: Trump 38.8, Rubio 24.5, Cruz 23.6 Massachusetts Poll (3): Trump 47, Rubio…

Rubio punches Trump in latest GOP debate

Those who tuned in for last night’s Republican primary debate saw a lively, rowdy, jumbled fight, and now that the field is down to five, it made it easier for candidates to go after the front-runner, and they did. Here’s what I got out of it. 1. MARCO RUBIO CAN SLAY THE TROLL – How do you beat a bully? You punch him in the face and mock him. Rubio turned Trump into a joke. He exposed Trump’s lack of depth on pretty much every issue, and he managed to…

The GOP field after four states

Donald Trump has won three of the first four states in the GOP primary. No candidate has ever failed to win the nomination after winning three of the first four states, even though 46 states, five territories, and D.C. have yet to have a say. Let me post a question this way. If it was any other candidate, wouldn’t we have a narrower field by now? Maybe, maybe not. The 2012 Primary In 2012, when Iowa cast its votes, there were only seven candidates left in the race. Herman Cain,…

62 things I learned from the South Carolina #GOPDebate

What happened during the South Carolina #GOPDebate? 1. CBS made sure they didn’t repeat ABC’s snafu by having all of the candidates walk out on stage together. 2. The positioning is L-to-R John Kasich, Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz, Donald Trump, Marco Rubio, and Ben Carson. Based on the cheers at introductions, most of the people in the room are not Trump or Carson voters. 3. Moderator John Dickerson has a moment of silence for Antonin Scalia. Five of the men bowed their heads and close their eyes. Trump stares straight…

Highlights from the ABC New Hampshire #GOPDebate

The ABC #GOPDebate event was advertised to start at 6:00pm MST, but that was a bait-and-switch because the first 15 minutes were actually spent by Clinton Foundation donor George Stephanopoulos asking the panel what the pre-game narrative was. Then, in the most awkward introductions in debate history, Chris Christie came out, but Ben Carson didn’t hear his name, so he stood there, offstage, smiling for the camera. At one point you even see a stagehand poke his head and telling him to go, but Ben refused. So Ted Cruz went…

Preview of the ABC New Hampshire #GOPDebate

To set up the stage for the ABC New Hampshire Debate in the Republican primaries, we need to first see what Iowa taught us. 1. The polls haven’t settled yet. I’ve been grousing about the polls looking sloppier and sloppier as Iowa approached. Small sample sizes. Large margin of errors. The final poll that was supposed to be the best was the Des Moines Register/Bloomberg poll, which had a MOE of 4%. So by almost that percentage, they overestimated Trump and underestimated Cruz, and Rubio did over 8% better in…

67 things I learned from watching the Fox News #GOPDebate

For the first time this cycle, I skipped the undercard debate. Jim Gilmore is there out of charity, and the crass last-second decision by Huckabee and Santorum to join Trump at his anti-Fox News rally just solidifies that they’re going to bomb on caucus night. So I’ll say Carly Fiorina won the debate by default, right? Doesn’t matter. None of these four should still be in the race this time next week. So on to primetime. What did I learn? 1. Rand Paul gets a loud pop. Libertarians in da…

Reaction to Fox Business #GOPDebate

The penultimate #GOPDebate before voters have their say in Iowa has occurred. Voices were raised, tears were shed, lives were changed. Okay, maybe it didn’t quite go like that but let’s review how it went. ==AFTERNOON DEBATE== 1. CARLY FIORINA – The fact that she didn’t outshine Huck & Rick by more solidified to me that she’s not going to last past New Hampshire. She was the best, keeping her attacks focussed on Hillary Clinton, but it ultimately doesn’t matter. If you can’t finish in the top five in Iowa…

Aftermath of the CNN Republican debate

I watched the afternoon debate live, and I watched the primetime debate on DVR. How did everyone do? I’ll do this in order of where they currently stand in the national polls. Afternoon 13. RICK SANTORUM – His most memorable line was “Not all Muslims are jihadis, but all jihadis are Muslim.” Santorum tried to distinguish himself by being tough on Islam. He tried to redefine it, saying it wasn’t just a religion but a governmental movement, pretty much made it sound like if we let in enough Muslims, they’re…