Is the World Unofficially at War?

The tragic events over the last month or two leave open questions and issues surrounding the numerous lawless outbursts that seem to be occurring: Charlie Hebdo cartoonists are massacred; Boko Haram reportedly kills 2,000 in Nigeria; beheadings of American, British and Japanese nationals by ISIL are broadcast on You Tube; innumerable persecuted Christians are killed in Syria; Russia inks a new military alliance with Iran; and now the ousting of President Hadi’s regime in Yemen by Houthis, a group so radical that even Saudi Arabia deemed them dangerous terrorists…the list…

Where Credit is Due: Republican Gains in the Utah Legislature

On election night, I went to bed sure that Democrats had gained one seat in the State House of Representatives. I woke up the next morning positive this had happened and the same every day for two weeks. Then Tuesday November 18th, two weeks after the 2014 general election I see a Facebook post from Dana Dickson telling me that three Republicans who lost on election night actually won. What? What happened? For starters, Republicans picked up one Congressional seat and now hold every statewide office and Congressional office in…

Utah Politico Hub: Fearless Predictions Revisited

Wait a minute. Hold the presses. How did those Utah Politico Hub election predictions turn out? There were eight brave souls who put their sterling reputations on the line. With the election canvas producing three different winners than election night, it is only fair that we review what the “experts” thought about Utah races going into election night. Any pre-canvas analysis was (as we now know) premature. There are 12 races with predictions, although in fairness we were having a little fun with one of our own bloggers John English on…

Why Democrat Party Losses in the Utah Legislature Aren’t About the Map

It’s easy to point to gerrymandering as the reason Utah Democrat Party losses in the 2014 mid-term elections grew by three. Easy, but pusillanimous. It removes blame from Democrat candidates, donors, strategists and campaign workers and instead puts it on the shoulders of cheating Republicans, ruling with a super-er majority in the Utah Legislature.  But Legislative Dems are confederate with their Republican colleagues. Blame the Republicans, but the Democrats were confederate. When the maps were drawn and redistricting happened in 2011, every Democrat member of the Utah House of Representatives voted…

Obama to use Immigration as a Power Play [Hub Debate]

Will the President take executive action on immigration or other policies in his remaining two years in office? But more importantly, should he and what will be the effect if he does? A growing number of observers have been prognosticating the deteriorating condition of our legislative branch in Washington. Gridlock is at an all-time high, with little legislation able to make it through the House and Senate cleanly, much less past the President’s desk. The radical left drives the Democrats and the Republicans seem hopelessly fragmented. It is no wonder…

One Thing All Campaigns Must Have To Win

In the past, most of the focus on what makes a good politician has come down to two things: how personable they are and if they can connect with voters. When those things are combined with a governing philosophy that is compatible with the people in their district, you have a guaranteed win. Of course, this assumes that there aren’t any October surprises that trip the politician up. It is still important to connect and be personal. However, as evidenced by political campaigns since 2008, it is even more important to…

Is No Democrat Going to Challenge Harry Reid?

All indications thus far are that the Democratic party is going to keep Harry Reid as the Senate leader and Nancy Pelosi as the House leader. This is a terrific strategy if the Democrats want to stay in the minority. One of the lessons from the midterms, and there were many, is that Democratic voters didn’t have a reason to be enthused. Their turnout was low. Republicans meanwhile were greatly enthused by the prospect of keeping the House, taking the Senate, and finally forcing some bills to make it to…

What Do We Take Away from Election 2014 in Utah?

Election 2014 was Mild, Except for Mia Utah’s Election 2014 outcomes were pretty mild compared to the rest of America. While nationally voters were repudiating President Obama’s policies by voting for Republicans at all levels of government, here in Utah the only excitement was about Republican Mia Love’s win over Democrat Doug Owens for Utah’s 4th Congressional District to replace Congressman Jim Matheson, Utah’s highest profile Democrat for over a decade. Love substantially outraised and outspent her opponent, so it was no surprise she won. Dave Hansen, Utah Republican’s most experienced…

Midterm Mayhem

The commentators are cooling off on the major networks. Weeks of non-stop punditry, debate and prognostication have ended. The midterm elections are over save for a few run-offs or possible recounts. The Republicans now control the House and Senate for the first time since the George Bush-era and effectively for only the second time since the Eisenhower-era. But have we learned anything? And what are the national implications that directly affect the good citizens of Utah? Can we draw any certain conclusions for the future? One thing seems to be…

Election 2014: Morning-After Observations

The national media took a while to form their narrative about Election 2014. Was it a Republican wave? Maybe a tropical storm? Did they have a mandate? Was it anti-Obama or anti-incumbent? Not all of the coverage was enlightening, but here’s some thoughts on last night. – Nate Silver was wrong. We’ve entered new territory. 2012 was full of unskewed-poll talk for Republicans, where they believed Nate Silver and other pollsters were underselling their turnout. Turns out Silver and crew were right. However in 2014, the pollsters were wrong on…